Illinois vs Michigan State 10/16/2010

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Michigan State is a solid favorite with a 72% chance to beat Illinois. Edwin Baker is projected for 79 rushing yards and a 49% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 28% of simulations where Illinois wins, Nathan Scheelhaase averages 1.82 TD passes vs 0.64 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.86 TDs to 0.91 interceptions. Mikel LeShoure averages 109 rushing yards and 0.97 rushing TDs when Illinois wins and 93 yards and 0.45 TDs in losses. Michigan State has a 37% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 87% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is MICHST -7.5

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